电话用了75年的时间才达到1亿用户。手机用了16年,Twitter用了5年,Facebook用了4年半。Instagram花了2年时间,ChatGPT只用了2个月就获得了1亿用户。

在第四次工业革命中,举足轻重的科技正在改变我们的工作、思考和生活方式。这个大趋势的变革速度是惊人的。

在本世纪初,世界上仅有3%的人可以上网。目前约有三分之二的人上网,而2030年实现普遍上网是联合国可持续发展目标之一。

本世纪的发明清单十分可观:人工智能(AI)、先进机器人、无人机、智能设备、3D打印、云计算、区块链技术、虚拟和增强现实、应用程序APP和社交平台、商业空间技术,以及崭露头角的CRISPR和基因编辑。

生成式AI是下一个通用技术,与个人电脑、互联网和移动电话一样具有变革性。它将影响各行各业,那些能与生成式AI开展创造性互动的人将成为各自领域的领导者。

人工智能(AI)市场将在这十年中增长20倍,预计在2030年达到近2万亿美元。

举足轻重的科技也带来了重大的实操和伦理挑战:

大型科技公司控制着全球的信息流和通信基础设施,而它们应该如何被监管?

日益提升的产品和服务与我们的隐私权之间又该如何权衡取舍?

基因编辑有望成为治愈失明的一种手段,但我们能遏制住打造“完美”婴儿的欲望吗?

谁将会是自动化工作的赢家和输家?

政府、企业和领导人面临的挑战将是确保这些新兴科技既能发挥其潜力,又能具备可得性,且公平和对社会有益。

Kemp, S. (2023). Digital 2023: Global Overview Report, Data Reportal. Available at: https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2023-global-overview-report

United Nations’ International Telecommunication Union (ITU) (2022). ‘New UN Targets Chart Path to Universal Meaningful Connectivity’. Available at: https://www.itu.int/hub/2022/04/new-un-targets-chart-path-to-universal-meaningful-connectivity/

Thormundsson, B. (2023). ‘Global Artificial Intelligence Market Size 2021-2030’, Statista. Available at: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1365145/artificial-intelligence-market-size/

Hu, K. (2023). ‘ChatGPT sets record for fastest-growing user base’, Reuters 3/2/23. Available at:
https://www.reuters.com/technology/chatgpt-sets-record-fastest-growing-user-base-analyst-note-2023-02-01/

Livemint (2023). ‘Chat GPT’s meteorical rise – 100 million users in 2 months’, Mint 5/3/23. Available at:
https://www.livemint.com/technology/tech-news/chatgpts-meteorical-rise-100-million-users-in-2-months-11677997670518.html

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We use a Creative Commons Attribution NoDerivatives licence for our articles and podcasts, so you can republish them for free, online or in print.

改变世界的根本力量是什么?

举足轻重的科技
加速个性化
日新月异的城市
人口结构的变化
日新月异的城市
气候资源的安全
经济局势的洗牌

Archive

Black mirror lawyering

Recent developments in AI have alerted lawyers that the environment in which they compete is changing.

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Hybrid work: the 9 things we have learnt

After the pandemic-induced experimentation with new forms of work – here is a checklist of nine things we have learnt about hybrid working (and what is, and isn’t, working).

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ChatGPT and generative AI

This week: Our ChatGPT and generative AI special. What is it? How does it work? What to do with it? Where to next?

The 4-day work week with Juliet Schor

This week: what if we all worked four days a week? We talk with Professor Juliet Schor about her research into the 4-day work week and the trials happening around the world.

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Best business books of 2022

This week: corporate self-help, pandemics, climate, toxic stuff and socio-tech broccoli: our 2022 best business books for your holiday reading list.

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Weird new jobs

This week: the AI whisperer, AI artist managers, data detectives, metaverse supply chain strategy consultants, and more cool jobs in the digital era.

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Unlearn music on The Future, This Week

This week: we’re on a break but we have something interesting in store for you, we discuss how the way we engage with music is fundamentally changing — from something we listen to, to something we create with.

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New York Times gets Wordle

This week: we discuss the economics and business behind the New York Times’ decision to buy popular internet game Wordle.

Unlearn automation on The Future, This Week

This week: we’re on a break but we have something interesting in store for you, and it’s not about our longitudinal auto ethnographic research on leisure time but rather, how automation will make your job harder.

Crowded skies

Satellites are already blocking out stars for astronomers, but will the crowded skies lead to more issues?

Still zooming on Corona Business Insights

As remote work continues for many people, what is Zoom fatigue and what to do about it, and how are videoconferencing platforms adapting their services to the hybrid future?

Breaking the internet (badly)

Fastly and Akamai are major internet companies most of us don’t need to know about, but what happens when they go down?

NFTs and Gamestop on The Future, This Week

This week: we discuss how digital ownership through NFTs creates value and new kinds of assets, and what the GameStop saga reveals about new forms of spontaneous digital organising.

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Moving with technology

How mobile technologies are not just portable computers – they change how we see and act in the world (and even shape it).

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Unlike a car, you can't just stick a battery-powered engine in a plane and expect it to fly. Despite that, small planes might be the future of electric flight.

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Our fake future

There is fake news, fake videos (deepfakes) and even cheap fakes.

Is FaceApp hoarding our data?

Is FaceApp amassing a database of user-submitted images for political purposes, under the guise of a light-hearted game?

Should Facebook be broken up?

One of Facebook's founders says the company is too big and powerful. Kai Riemer speaks with Kia Handley on ABC Radio Newcastle.

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Giving the world a better face

What happens when technology has a human face? In the future digital assistants will not just be disembodied voices: soon we will be gazing into an emotionally rich, apparently human, 3D digital face.

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The words that ate 2018

Each year the Macquarie Dictionary Committee choose a new word that represents the year gone by. Drawn from a short list, the words selected are both innovative and highly topical: so it’s no coincidence we have delved into some of the issues underlying these evolving words.

Our must-listen podcasts from 2018

To celebrate the milestone of producing our 100th podcast and the closing of a successful year, here is a collection of our favourite podcast interviews from 2018.

Programming for obsolescence

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Mind the fake news

In this podcast, we talk with Professor Alan Dennis about the fake news phenomenon.

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A bumpy road ahead

Fatal Uber crash highlights both AI and non-technical questions about autonomous vehicles.

Universities on knowledge and how it matters

It’s time to (do more than) talk about knowledge. Universities must take leadership in helping develop students capacity to recognise different kinds of knowledge and work flexibly.

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Banks must lift their branding game

Banks were originally businesses based on customer trust. Today that trust has diminished as they juggle their priorities between the customer, employees, community and shareholders. It's the focus on the latter that has diluted that sense of trust the most.

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Classy Facebook

Facebook patents an algorithm that determines social status: your class is its business.

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Where cars are going…

Driving to the beat of an unknown drum: navigating towards the autonomous car future – put yourself in the driver’s seat.

The future of banking

We talk to Dr Iikka Korhonen from the Bank of Finland and Mr Aidan O'Shaughnessy from the Australian Bankers' Association about the challenges of the international banking system.

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We need to talk about AI

If we are to ensure new technologies benefit human functioning and wellbeing we must move beyond the current focus on apocalyptic messages.

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The myth of the thinking machine

Why do we believe in the existence of intelligent machines? Why do we believe that computers can do inherently human activities, such as decision-making, better than we do?

The motor car: love in a digital age

Carlos Ghosn, CEO of the Renault–Nissan Alliance and one of the world’s most influential business leaders, predicts what we can expect from the future of the automotive industry.

The future of work
The future of work for Gen Y & Z

We must equip millennials with the ability to think critically and to evaluate new situations, new information and new environments, in order to prepare them for tomorrow’s jobs.

A future of automation with Hugh Durrant-Whyte

What does automation mean for the future of mining, agriculture, cities and the future of jobs? A discussion with Hugh Durrant-Whyte, Chief Scientific Adviser at the UK Ministry of Defence.